Weathering the Crisis? Adjusting Welfare States in Eastern Europe after the Crisis of 2008

Project Directors Dr. Jan Drahokoupil Project Staff Dragos Adascalitei, Stefan Domonkos DFG-funded 2009 – 2015

Research question/goal:

This project focused on the key features of capitalist diversity in Eastern Europe: the differences in the systems of social protection and their political and economic determinants. In particular, it investigated the welfare-state adjustments that followed the crisis of 2008. The main research question was as follows: How did the welfare regimes in Eastern Europe respond to the economic crisis and what explained variations in welfare state adjustments?

The project employed a multilevel research design, including a qualitative macro-comparison of reform processes in selected countries, quantitative analyses of the public opinion and stages of the reform, and comparative case studies on the company level. The research design reflected a broad definition of the welfare regime. Particular attention was given to the key aspects of East European systems of social protection: the pension systems, redistribution through personal income tax, and labour law and industrial relations on the company level.

The diverse impacts of the crisis have confirmed that the transformations have led neither to a convergence towards one of the European models nor to a rise of a single ‘post-communist capitalism’. The post-2008 transition of the welfare state in Central and Eastern Europe was marked by a return to more conventional welfare state reforms, departing from the paradigmatic/systemic changes carried out in the late 1990s and early 2000s. The economic and financial crisis of the late 2000s and 2010s thus challenged the developmental model relying on the marketization and privatization of the welfare state, the withdrawal of the state and the curtailment of its redistributive capacity.

The macro-economic shocks triggering reform adjustments proved to be the main economic variable shaping the development of welfare regimes in the region. The actual variation in outcomes was forged in a contextual interaction of political regimes, pressures from international organizations, structure of the party competition, public opinion, and social learning among the policy makers. The differences in production regimes that characterized individual countries had relevance on the company level, but the outcomes were also largely shaped by contextual and agency factors, with national industrial relations institutions playing only a weak role.


Publications

Books

  • Myant, Martin, Jan Drahokoupil (2010): Transition Economies: Political Economy in Russia, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia. Hoboken, NJ, Wiley-Blackwell. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2008): Globalization and the State in Central and Eastern Europe: The Politics of Foreign Direct Investment. 256. London, Routledge. More

Book Chapters

  • Bruff, Ian, Matthias Ebenau, Christian May, Andreas Nölke (Eds.) Drahokoupil, Jan, Martin Myant (2013): Institutionalismus jenseits der ‚Spielarten des Kapitalismus‘: Transitionsökonomien in der vergleichenden Kapitalismusforschung. 86-102. Münster, Westfälisches Dampfboot. More
  • Vural, Ipek Eren (Eds.) Drahokoupil, Jan, Martin Myant (2011): The politics of welfare restructuring in transition countries and the crisis of 2008. 149-180. Farnham, Ashgate. More

Journal Articles

  • Adascalitei, Dragos (2017): From austerity to austerity: the political economy of public pension reforms in Romania and Bulgaria. Social Policy & Administration, 51, 3, 464-487. More
  • Domonkos, Stefan (2016): Who wants a progressive income tax? Determinants of tax-policy preferences in Post-Socialist Eastern Europe. East European Politics and Societies, 30, 2, 423-448. More
  • Naczyk, Marek, Stefan Domonkos (2016): The financial crisis and varieties of pension privatization reversals in Eastern Europe. Governance, 29, 2, 167-184. More
  • Adascalitei, Dragos (2014): Book Review: Easter, G. Capital, Coercion and Postcommunist States. Journal of European Social Policy, 24, 2, 199-200. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2014): Decision-making in multinational corporations: Key issues in international business strategy. Transfer: European Review of Labour and Research, 20, 2, 199-215. More
  • Myant, Martin, Jan Drahokoupil (2013): Transition Economies after the Crisis of 2008: Actors and Policies. Europe-Asia Studies, 65, 3, 373-382. More
  • Domonkos, Tomas, Stefan Domonkos, Miroslava Dolinajcova, Nora Grisakova (2013): The Effect of the Formula Apportionment of the Common Consolidated Corporate Tax Base on Tax Revenue in the Slovak Republic. Ekonomicky casopis/Journal of Economics, 61, 5, 453-467. More
  • Myant, Martin, Jan Drahokoupil (2012): International Integration, Varieties of Capitalism and Resilience to Crisis in Transition Economies. Europe-Asia Studies , 64, 1, 1-33. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Stefan Domonkos (2012): Averting the funding–gap crisis: East European pension reforms after 2008. Global Social Policy, 12, 3, 283-299. More
  • Myant, Martin, Jan Drahokoupil (2012): Transition Indicators of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development: A Doubtful Guide to Economic Success. Competition and Change, 16, 1, 69-75. More
  • Adascalitei, Dragos (2012): Welfare State Development in Central and Eastern Europe: A State of the Art Literature Review. Studies of Transition States and Societies, 4, 2, 59-70. More
  • Domonkos, Stefan, Tomas Domonkos (2011): Economic Voting Behavior and the Political Right-Wing (Empirical Evidence from the Slovak Republic). Ekonomický časopis/Journal of Economics, 59, 9, 905-917. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2010): Jiří Večerník's Czech society in the 2000s. Europe-Asia Studies, 62, 9, 1583-1586. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Martin Myant (2010): Varieties of Capitalism, Varieties of Vulnerabilities: Financial Crisis and its Impact on Welfare States in Eastern Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States. Historical Social Research, 35, 2, 266-295. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2009): Post-perekhodnye varianty politicheskogo i ehkonomicheskogo razvitija stran Vostochnojj Evropy i byvshego Sovetskogo Sojuza. Мир России (Universe of Russia), 18, 3, 39-60. More

Presentations

  • Adascalitei, Dragos, Stefan Domonkos (2014): When Less Is More: The Politics of Pension Privatization during the Financial Crisis of the Late 2000s. [26th SASE Annual Meeting, Northwestern University and University of Chicago, 09/07/2014 - 11/07/2014]. More
  • Adascalitei, Dragos, Aurelian Muntean (2014): When Striking Works: The Case of Unions in the Healthcare Sector in Romania. [8th ECPR General Conference, University of Glasgow, 02/09/2014 - 05/09/2014]. More
  • Naczyk, Marek, Stefan Domonkos (2013): Cure or Kill: The Global Financial Crisis and the Changing Domestic Politics of Pension Privatization in Central and Eastern Europe. [7th ECPR General Conference, Sciences Po, Bordeaux, 03/09/2013 - 06/09/2013]. More
  • Adascalitei, Dragos (2013): The political economy of public pension reforms in Bulgaria, Belarus, and Ukraine. [CES Pre-Conference PhD Workshop "Political Economy Research in Times of Crisis: Conceptual Challenges and Methodological Approaches", University of Amsterdam, 23/06/2013 - 23/06/2013]. More
  • Adascalitei, Dragos (2013): Economic crises and pension reforms: The cases of Romania and Bulgaria.. [ESAPnet doctoral workshop 2013 "Comparing Welfare States: Applying Quantitative and Qualitative Comparative Analysis in Social Policy Research", MZES, Mannheim, 03/06/2013 - 05/06/2013]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2013): Managing flexibility: Employment practices in automotive multinationals in Central and Eastern Europe. [Central and Eastern Europe: Work, Employment and Societies between Transition and Change, Evry, 20/11/2013 - 21/11/2013]. More
  • Adascalitei, Dragos (2012): Asking for help or going alone: Welfare state responses to the economic crisis in Bulgaria and Romania. [10th Annual ESPAnet Conference, University of Edinburgh, 05/09/2012 - 07/09/2012]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2011): East European Pension Politics 2.0: The emergence of diversity in Eastern European pension reforms after the crisis of 2008. [Invited talk, Tallinn University of Technology, 27/11/2011 - 27/11/2011]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2011): East European Pension Politics 2.0: The emergence of diversity in Eastern European pension reforms after the crisis of 2008. [Pension Outcomes, FP7 Gusto Project Workshop, Bologna, 17/11/2011 - 18/11/2011]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Martin Myant (2011): The road to a distorted system? Welfare states in East-Central Europe. [Welfare State in Europe in the 20th Century, Prag, 13/11/2011 - 15/11/2011]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Martin Myant (2011): What explains governments' responses to the world economic crisis. [European Association for Evolutionary Political Economy Conference, Wien, 26/10/2011 - 29/10/2011]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2011): Varieties of Capitalism in Transition Economies. [Rethinking Capitalist Development in Emerging Countries, Rio de Janeiro, 18/10/2011 - 20/10/2011]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2011): Coping with the Crisis: Policy Responses to the Crisis of 2008 in Eastern Europe. [Tagung DVPW-Arbeitskreis Internationale Politische Ökonomie 'Die Globale Finanzkrise in politikwissenschaftlicher Perspektive', Magdeburg, 26/05/2011 - 27/05/2011]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Stefan Domonkos (2011): East European Pension Politics 2.0: The emergence of diversity in Eastern European pension reforms after the crisis of 2008. [The Global Economic Crisis and the Welfare State: Short-Term Responses and Long-Term Effects, University of Bremen, 23/11/2011 - 24/11/2011]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2010): International Integration and Resilience to Crisis in Transition Economies. [International Studies Association annual convention, New Orleans, 16/02/2010 - 19/02/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2010): Financial Crisis and the Politics of Welfare Restructuring in Eastern Europe: Short-Term Impacts and Long-Term Prospects. [Centre for Comparative Economics Seminar Series, SSEES, University College London, London, 08/02/2010 - 08/02/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2010): International Integration and Resilience to Crisis in Transition Economies. [ECPR Joint Sessions of Workshops, Münster, 21/03/2010 - 26/03/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2010): International Integration and Resilience to Crisis in Transition Economies. [Council for European Studies International Conference, Montreal, 14/04/2010 - 16/04/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Martin Myant (2010): Financial Crisis as a Verdict on Transition: Introducing the Book Transition Economies: Political Economy in Russia, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia by Martin Myant and Jan Drahokoupil. [Association for Slavic, East European, and Eurasian Studies Annual Convention, Los Angeles, 17/11/2010 - 20/11/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Martin Myant (2010): Political economy of crisis adjustment in Eastern Europe. [European Association for Evolutionary Political Economy Annual Conference, Bordeaux, 27/10/2010 - 30/10/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2010): Political economy of crisis adjustment in Eastern Europe. [ECPR SGIR 7th Pan-European International Relations Conference, Stockholm, 07/09/2010 - 10/09/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2010): Forms of international integration and the vulnerabilities and resiliences to the crisis in Eastern Europe. [The financial crisis in Central Eastern Europe, University of Osnabrück, 16/06/2010 - 17/06/2010]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2009): The IMF is back: Conditionalities in crisis lending to post-communist countries in 2008-2009 and their impact on national strategies and political identities. [CEELBAS seminar ‘Elites and the Formation of Political Identity in Post Soviet Space. Global Influences’, University of Cambridge, 26/11/2009 - 26/11/2009]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2009): What difference has the financial crisis made for the welfare-state regimes in Eastern Europe and the CIS? . [Debatte conference ‘1989−2009: the East European revolutions in perspective’, London, 16/10/2009 - 17/10/2009]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2009): Global Financial Crisis and its Impacts in Eastern Europe, Russia, and the CIS: Crisis of and crisis in the varieties of dependent capitalism. [EAEPE & University of Hertfordshire symposium ‘The transformation of post-Soviet economies twenty years on’, Offley Place Country House, 08/10/2009 - 09/10/2009]. More
  • Drahokoupil, Jan (2009): Service Sector Outsourcing in the Visegrád Four: Transforming the European Assembly Platform into a Knowledge-Based Economy?. [RSA Research Network Seminar ‘The Role of Business Services and Knowledge Transfer in Cluster Formation in Central and Eastern Europe’, Jagiellonian University, Krakau, 16/09/2009 - 17/09/2009]. More

Reports

  • Drahokoupil, Jan, Stefan Domonkos (2013): Reforming pensions: the limits of diversification. 3/2013, 6. Brussels, European Trade Union Institute. More

Thesis

  • Adascalitei, Dragos (2016): Between state and market: the changing role of institutions and political actors in East European pension reforms. Mannheim, University of Mannheim. More
  • Domonkos, Stefan (2015): Limiting Redistributive Capacity: Welfare State Reforms in Central and Eastern Europe. Mannheim, University of Mannheim. More