Campaign Dynamics 2005. Mobilizing and Persuading Effects of Television News on Voters during the 2005 German General Election Campaign
Research question/goal:
The project aimed at a comprehensive analysis of campaign effects on electoral behaviour in Germany. For the 2005 German general election it was studied if and how TV news coverage of the election campaign had an influence on voters' perceptions, attitudes and behaviour and whether it thereby affected election results. The project focused on both turnout and party choice. In order to study the dynamic effects of campaign coverage, the dataset of a nationally representative rolling cross-section survey with interviews of voters collected on a daily basis during the campaign (which had been conducted during a preceding project phase) was combined with a content analysis of the four major TV channels' main evening newscasts coverage during the same period of time. With this integrated dataset, it was possible to link media content directly to corresponding orientations of voters. This "linkage" strategy of research promised more valid results than an analysis based only on survey data, following the so-called “attentiveness” approach. The project provided detailed insight into the dynamic effects of TV coverage on voters’ attitudes on parties, candidates and issues (political persuasion) and voters’ involvement in the political process (political mobilization).
Most important results: Most of the project was devoted to conducting the content analysis of TV news coverage in the run-up to the German Federal Election 2005. Preliminary analyses of the combined content and survey data suggest that the visibility of parties and candidates as well as the tone were important attributes of news coverage, exerting mobilizing (resp. demobilizing) effects and was also consequential for voters' party choices.
Publications
Books
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(2010): Arbeitslosigkeit und Wählerverhalten: Direkte und indirekte Wirkungen auf Wahlbeteiligung und Parteipräferenzen in Ost- und Westdeutschland. Baden-Baden, Nomos. More
Book Chapters
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(2010): Voters' political conversations during the 2005 German parliamentary election campaign. 99 - 116. London/New York, Routledge. More
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(2009): Nur eine Frage der Zeit: Eine Analyse zweier Online-Umfragen zu den Bundestagswahlen 2002 und 2005. 343–360. Baden-Baden, Nomos. More
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(2009): Politikvermittlung durch Massenmedien bei der Bundestagswahl 2005: Nutzungsintensität und Einflüsse auf Einstellungen und Wahlverhalten. 415-446. Wiesbaden, VS-Verlag. More
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(2009): Politische Informationsquellen und ihre Effekte bei der Bundestagswahl 2005. 415-446. Wiesbaden, VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften. More
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(2009): Kampagnendynamik im Bundestagswahlkampf 2005. 146-176. Wiesbaden, VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften. More
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(2008): The Campaign and its Dynamics at the 2005 German General Election. 59–85. London, Routledge. More
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(2008): Können offene Online-Umfragen dynamische Prozesse der Einstellungsentwicklung erfassen?. 213-232. Wiesbaden, VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften. More
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(2008): Divided We March, Divided We Fight: Trade Unions, Social Democrats, and Voters at the 2005 German General Election. 151-182. Baden-Baden, Nomos. More
Journal Articles
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(2008): Polls that Mattered: Effects of Media Polls on Voters’ Coalition Expectations and Party Preferences in the 2005 German Parliamentary Election. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 20, 3, 299-325. More
Presentations
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(2008): Voters? Political Conversations during the 2005 German Parliamentary Election Campaign: Causes and Consequences. [Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (EPOP) Annual Conference, Manchester, 11/09/2008 - 13/09/2008]. More