(2025):
The Zweitstimme Forecast for the German Federal Election 2025: Coalition Majorities and Vacant Districts.
PS: Political Science & Politics,
59,
1,
48-54.
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Hannah Rajski
Project staff
University of Mannheim, MZES
A5, 6 Building A A 243
68159 Mannheim
Phone: +49-621-181-2846A5, 6 Building A A 243
68159 Mannheim
E-Mail: hannah.rajski@uni-mannheim.de
Publikation — recent
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(2025): An election forecasting model for subnational elections. Electoral Studies, 95, Article No. 102939, 1-10. More
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(2023): The role of vote advice application in direct-democratic opinion formation: an experiment from Switzerland. Acta Politica, 58, 4, 792-818. More
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(2025): Accuracy of Citizens' Electoral Expectations: Evidence from Germany’s Mixed Electoral System. [15th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association (EPSA), Madrid, 25/06/2025 - 27/06/2025]. More
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(2025): The Zweitstimme Model: A Forecast of the 2025 German Federal Election. [121st Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA), Vancouver, 10/09/2025 - 13/09/2025]. More
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(2025): Monetary Incentives and Wishful Thinking in Electoral Expectations. [Zweitstimme.org Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour, Berlin, 19/11/2025 - 20/11/2025]. More
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(2025): Monetary Incentives and Wishful Thinking in Electoral Expectations. [49th Annual Conference of the International Association for the Study of German Politics, London, 10/12/2025 - 11/12/2025]. More
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(2025): Forecasting the German Federal Election 2025 - Different Modelling Approaches. [MZES Social Science Data Lab, Mannheim, 20/05/2025]. More
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(2025): Team Zweitstimme.org: Das Wahlprognose-Projekt Zweitstimme.org: Hintergründe und Erfahrungen zur Vorhersage der Bundestagswahl 2025. [Jahrestagung des DVPW-Arbeitskreises „Wahlen und politische Einstellungen“, Berlin, 17/09/2025 - 18/09/2025]. More
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(2024): Accuracy of citizens' vote expectations in the 2024 Saxon state election. [8th GESIS Political Science Research Roundtable, Mannheim, 22/10/2024 - 22/10/2024]. More
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(2024): Citizen forecasting in the 2024 Saxon State election. [29. wissenschaftlicher Kongress der Deutschen Vereinigung für Politikwissenschaft, Göttingen, 23/09/2024 - 26/09/2024]. More
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(2024): The effect of individual and contextual characteristics on citizen forecasts’ accuracy – a meta-analysis. [ECPR General Conference, Dublin, 11/08/2024 - 14/08/2024]. More
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(2024): What affects citizen forecasts’ accuracy? - A meta-analysis. [120th APSA Annual Meeting & Exhibition, Philadelphia, PA, 04/09/2024 - 07/09/2024]. More
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(2024): Citizen forecasting in Saxony 2024 - a pre-analysis plan. [Annual Meeting of the DVPW Section Methods of Political Science, Bamberg, 25/04/2024 - 26/04/2024]. More
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(2023): The Effect of Incumbents‘ Partisanship on the Formation of Party Identification. [ECPR General Conference, Prague, 03/09/2023 - 07/09/2023]. More
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(2023): The Effect of Incumbents‘ Partisanship on the Formation of Party Identification. [13th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association, Glasgow, 21/06/2023 - 23/06/2023]. More